Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.041023 5.664156 6.344312 7.143458 8.058756 9.076716 10.297872
2025-01-19 3.912540 4.687966 5.598240 6.751506 8.181870 9.908145 12.165154
2025-01-26 3.384799 4.256297 5.337315 6.788750 8.704628 11.172203 14.631632
2025-02-02 3.086142 4.037751 5.273152 7.014471 9.437709 12.738225 17.656330
2025-02-09 2.824985 3.821461 5.165916 7.141360 10.018902 14.134679 20.608486
2025-02-16 2.603397 3.625749 5.052505 7.227422 10.527552 15.460971 23.614357
2025-02-23 2.416894 3.454922 4.948236 7.301838 11.009021 16.781788 26.773635
2025-03-02 2.185679 3.194033 4.682535 7.096429 11.022933 17.357926 28.776990
2025-03-09 2.016715 3.009016 4.509991 7.011153 11.207175 18.213123 31.351827
2025-03-16 1.866365 2.838377 4.342091 6.911763 11.348795 18.999942 33.898396
2025-03-23 1.813894 2.815660 4.403348 7.191571 12.159644 21.035347 39.053905
2025-03-30 1.712128 2.704562 4.310380 7.197515 12.483913 22.225061 42.740836
2025-04-06 1.603809 2.577006 4.183911 7.140546 12.702066 23.270828 46.366770
2025-04-13 1.444974 2.353382 3.877654 6.734515 12.225946 22.924644 47.018407
2025-04-20 1.374720 2.275402 3.816136 6.768735 12.594783 24.294719 51.633721
2025-04-27 1.340037 2.256044 3.855243 6.993084 13.360372 26.571210 58.702774
2025-05-04 1.293253 2.211392 3.844522 7.119405 13.939431 28.527101 65.372311
2025-05-11 1.244382 2.159153 3.815185 7.205141 14.441473 30.378256 72.128147
2025-05-18 1.197651 2.107318 3.782136 7.279290 14.925312 32.250552 79.296677
2025-05-25 1.120026 1.992615 3.620776 7.074598 14.771683 32.616073 82.500755
2025-06-01 1.062821 1.912769 3.521014 6.989619 14.877179 33.612001 87.636691
2025-06-08 1.008268 1.834550 3.418933 6.890575 14.939188 34.508520 92.665011
2025-06-15 0.998289 1.842125 3.488124 7.169408 15.921446 37.861750 105.706882